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People Mr Andrew Martinez

James Martin Fellow, The Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School

Research Assistant

Andrew studied economics, international studies and German literature for his undergraduate degree at Guilford College in Greensboro, NC. Following this, he completed a Master’s degree in international economic policy at the George Washington University in Washington DC where he first became interested in time series and forecasting. Prior to coming to Oxford, he worked for several years at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), where he worked on a project to evaluate the IMF’s forecasts. His MPhil thesis at Oxford, which was conducted under the supervision of David Hendry, proposed a general approach for evaluating large systems of multi-horizon forecasts when there are only relatively few forecast error observations.

At INET, Andrew is working on the following project:

Understanding the interaction of human activity and climate change: empirical modelling and forecasting of climate systems

The project concentrates on developing econometric methods to augment climate-economic research by helping disentangle complex relationships between human actions and climate responses and their associated economic effects, masked by stochastic trends and breaks. This will lead to an improved understanding of the impact of humanity on climate and vice versa, on how econometrics can be used in climate-economic research, help create more accurate historical climate records, and reduce uncertainty in socio-economic scenarios for long-run predictions of the resulting climate damages.