"World population and human capital in the 21st century" by Prof Wolfgang Lutz followed by a panel discussion

Past Event

03 November 2014, 6:00pm - 7:30pm

Lecture Theatre, Oxford Martin School
34 Broad Street (corner of Holywell and Catte Streets), Oxford, OX1 3BD

I Stock pol 1978 Graphs
© Istock/pol_1978

This public lecture is held by the Oxford Martin School in conjunction with the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) and Wittgenstein Centre

The future of global development as well as the end of world population growth in the 21st century will crucially depend on further progress in education, particularly of girls. Almost universally, better educated women have fewer children, have healthier children and are in better heath themselves. Broad based secondary education has been shown to be a key driver of economic growth, of improving governance and democracy and of enhancing the adaptive capacity to climate change.

Professor Wolfgang Lutz of IIASA (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria) and Founding Director of the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital will (together with co-authors) present the new OUP book “World Population and Human Capital in the 21st Century” which provides the broadest availably scientific synthesis of what is known about the drivers of population and education in all countries of the world.


  • Talk: A new view on humans in the 21st century: selected results from the book, (World Population and Human Capital in the 21st Century) - Professor Wolfgang Lutz
  • Panel Discussion:
    • Professor Wolfgang Lutz, Founding Director, Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital, and Program Director, World Population Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
    • Professor Francesco Billari, Head of Department of Sociology, University of Oxford, Professor of Sociology and Demography, Fellow of Nuffield College
    • Professor David Coleman, Supernumerary Fellow in Human Sciences and University Professor in Demography
    • Professor Sarah Harper, Co-Director, Oxford Institute of Population Ageing, Oxford Martin School
  • Q & A with the audience and lead authors Bilal Barakat, Stuart Basten and Anne Goujon

The event will be chaired by Sir Andrew Dilnot, Warden, Nuffield College and Chair, UK Statistics Authority

A drinks reception will follow, all welcome

This event is also being live webcast on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zv2C5eRlAQk

About the speakers

Wolfgang Lutz is Founding Director of the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, VID/ÖAW, WU), Leader of the World Population Program at IIAS, Director of the Vienna Institute of Demography of the Austrian Academy of Sciences, Professor at the Vienna University of Economics and Business, and Professorial Research Fellow at the Oxford Martin School for 21st Century Studies. He has worked on family demography, fertility analysis, population projections, and the interactions between population and environment. He is author of the series of world population projections produced at IIASA and has developed approaches for projecting education and human capital. He is also principal investigator of the Asian MetaCentre for Population and Sustainable Development Analysis. Wolfgang Lutz is author and editor of 28 books and more than 200 refereed articles, including seven in Science and Nature.

Francesco Billari is Head of Department, Professor of Sociology and Demography and Fellow of Nuffield College, Oxford University. He is currently President of the European Association for Population Studies, a Fellow of the European Academy of Sociology, and one of the founding members of Population Europe. His research areas include Ageing, Globalisation, Human Development, Gender Practices in Household, Ageing and Social Policy, Anthropological Demography.

David Coleman has been the Professor of Demography at Oxford University since 2002 and was the Reader in Demography between 1996-2002, and Lecturer in Demography since 1980. Between 1985 and 1987 he worked for the British government, as the Special Adviser to the Home Secretary, and then to the Ministers of Housing and of the Environment. Research interests include the comparative demographic trends in the industrial world; the future of fertility, the demographic consequences of migration and the demography of ethnic minorities. International collaborative work continues on these topics at the Vienna Institute of Demography. He has worked as a consultant for the Home Office, for the United Nations and for private business.

Sarah Harper is Professor of Gerontology at the University of Oxford, Director of the Oxford Institute of Population Ageing, Oxford Martin School and Senior Research Fellow at Nuffield College. She serves on the Prime Minister’s Council for Science and Technology, which advises the Prime Minister on the scientific evidence for strategic policies and frameworks. She currently chairs the UK government Foresight Review on Ageing Societies, and the European Ageing Index Panel for the UNECE Population Unit and European Commission’s Directorate General for Employment, Social Affairs and Inclusion. Sarah Harper is a Governor of the Pensions Policy Institute, and a Director of the Pension Foundation ClubVita.