Build imprecise supercomputers
The Oxford Martin Programme on
Modelling and Predicting Climate
The Programme on Modelling and Predicting Climate was established in 2010. Funding from the Oxford Martin School ceased in 2015. Although this programme no longer receives funding from the Oxford Martin School, members of the team are still actively involved in the School's community.
the project
We aim to increase the reliability of climate prediction through the development of novel mathematical techniques for use in next-generation earth-system models.
Climate predictions are used for making major decisions in climate mitigation, adaptation and geoengineering. The quality of a decision depends on how accurate the forecasts are and how well the uncertainty in the forecast can be estimated.
Whilst on the global scale climate prediction is broadly reliable, attention has turned to more regional climate prediction, where errors inherent in conventional modelling methods are more apparent.
We bring complex mathematical modelling techniques to understandings of climate dynamics and atmospheric physics. We play an active role in informing global debate and advancing the field of climate science through building more reliable models for weather and climate prediction.
publications
Opportunities for Energy Efficient Computing: A Study of Inexact General Purpose Processors for High-Performance and Big-data Applications
The implications of carbon dioxide and methane exchange for the heavy mitigation RCP2.6 scenario under two metrics
Stochastic modelling and energy-efficient computing for weather and climate prediction
Climate science: Breaks in trends
Reducing Risks of Future Disasters
videos
Tim Palmer and Charles Godfray in conversation: 'Modelling climate change: predicting the future'
"Climate prediction in the 2020s" with Prof Tim Palmer
"EU climate policy – where are we headed?" with Dr Jos Delbeke
"Climate change and our oceans" with Prof Gideon Henderson and Prof David Marshall
"Climate change: dealing with uncertainty" with Prof Tim Palmer
Making sense of recent climate change
Were recent UK floods due to climate change?
Healthier, Wealthier Cities: Linking Growth, Prosperity & Liveability
Climate change: the future
An expert view on Carbon Capture and Storage
From risk to opportunity - 2013 Ideas Lab at the World Economic Forum
Are extreme weather events going to increase?
How do you deal with uncertainty in climate models?
Reinventing Fire: Profitable Solutions to Climate, Oil, and Proliferation
Development of Practical Policy for Carbon Capture and Storage
Climate Shocks: Turning Crisis into Opportunity
The economics of climate change
Keep in touch
If you found this page useful, sign up to our monthly digest of the latest news and events
Subscribe